Kimchi Premium

Korea's kimchi premium: in English, updated daily

The gap between Korea's bitcoin price and the global rate. A positive "premium" means Koreans are paying up; a negative reading is a discount, local demand softer than global. It's a sentiment read on Korean retail, not a price prediction.

Data through 08-17

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When the Korea premium, Korean memory-chip flows, or derivatives positioning move notably, you get one note with what happened after similar signals before. Read past notes →

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Current reading

Korea vs. the global bitcoin price

As of 2026-08-17
Kimchi premium -0.44% discount Kimchi Tension 63% · mid of recent band
Upbit BTC/KRW ₩90,624,000
Global BTC (Binance) $64,253.09
USD/KRW 1,416.60

Context

What is this?

Korean exchanges run largely walled off from global arbitrage because of capital controls, so Korea's bitcoin price can drift above or below the world price. When Korean retail is euphoric the premium widens; when local demand cools or money leaves, it flips to a discount. It's one of crypto's most-watched sentiment gauges, and lately it's been near zero to slightly negative.

Recent trend

Kimchi premium, latest snapshots

2026-05-20 → 2026-08-17
0%

Backtest

Does a discount predict anything? The receipts

There's a popular story that a kimchi discount marks "disbelief" and precedes rallies. We backtested our own kimchi divergence signal to check whether that holds. The honest answer:

Signal episodes 79 in the data window
7-day return after signal -0.4% completed sample n=77

All-period 7-day average: +0.3%

14-day return after signal 0.0% completed sample n=76

All-period 14-day average: +0.5%

Free data notes

When Korea × crypto numbers move, in your inbox

When the Korea premium, Korean memory-chip flows, or derivatives positioning move notably, you get one note with what happened after similar signals before.

Read a past letter →

This page is an observation from public data, not investment advice or a buy/sell signal. Figures update daily and can be revised or delayed at the source.